The BABIP Report

Dodgers hitters vs expected

Each pair is one Dodgers hitter in the 2026 regular season, from March 26 through September 25. The upper bar is how often the batted ball became a hit. The lower bar is xBA, the hit rate the contact model expected on those same balls. The list runs from the largest gap above the model to the largest gap below it.

A hit is a single, double, triple, or home run. Bunts are left out. Only balls with exit velocity, launch angle, and spray angle are included, and only players with at least 25 of them. The model was built on 2025 contact, then applied here.

Josue De Paula26
Actual.385
xBA.342
Teoscar Hernández305
Actual.384
xBA.342
Alex Call126
Actual.294
xBA.257
Alex Freeland156
Actual.340
xBA.315
Tommy Edman217
Actual.313
xBA.289
Hyeseong Kim87
Actual.345
xBA.323
Max Muncy346
Actual.350
xBA.333
Enrique Hernández57
Actual.333
xBA.321
Freddie Freeman466
Actual.358
xBA.352
Andy Pages400
Actual.347
xBA.342
Shohei Ohtani367
Actual.387
xBA.382
Dalton Rushing147
Actual.367
xBA.368
Ryan Ward37
Actual.324
xBA.327
Miguel Rojas198
Actual.298
xBA.310
Will Smith192
Actual.312
xBA.325
Mookie Betts417
Actual.293
xBA.307
Kyle Tucker431
Actual.288
xBA.304
Santiago Espinal48
Actual.312
xBA.349
Hunter Feduccia56
Actual.268
xBA.313

The number beside each name is how many batted balls are in the pair. Bar length uses a scale that ends at .450.