The BABIP Report

Dodgers pitchers vs expected

Each pair is one Dodgers pitcher in the 2026 regular season, from March 26 through September 25. The upper bar is how often a ball in play against him became a hit. The lower bar is xBA, the hit rate the contact model expected on those same balls. The list runs from the largest gap below the model to the largest gap above it.

A hit is a single, double, triple, or home run. Bunts are left out. Only balls with exit velocity, launch angle, and spray angle are included, and only pitchers with at least 25 of them. The model was built on 2025 contact, then applied here.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto469
Actual.245
xBA.288
Tanner Scott148
Actual.318
xBA.351
Justin Wrobleski415
Actual.299
xBA.329
Shohei Ohtani211
Actual.261
xBA.286
Jonathan Hernández73
Actual.288
xBA.313
Tyler Glasnow162
Actual.278
xBA.299
Alex Vesia128
Actual.234
xBA.254
Jack Dreyer152
Actual.296
xBA.314
Brock Stewart65
Actual.246
xBA.252
Charlie Barnes37
Actual.351
xBA.355
Eric Lauer229
Actual.301
xBA.290
Blake Treinen80
Actual.350
xBA.337
Emmet Sheehan297
Actual.333
xBA.318
Roki Sasaki342
Actual.330
xBA.315
Tarik Skubal157
Actual.331
xBA.314
Kyle Hurt115
Actual.330
xBA.309
Edgardo Henriquez136
Actual.265
xBA.242
Evan Phillips62
Actual.339
xBA.315
Seth Halvorsen35
Actual.314
xBA.290
Blake Snell87
Actual.299
xBA.272
Landon Knack39
Actual.308
xBA.269
Will Klein114
Actual.377
xBA.337
Edwin Díaz51
Actual.490
xBA.369

The number beside each name is how many batted balls are in the pair. Bar length uses a scale that ends at .550.